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Thursday, September 30, 2010

Why Gold Is $1,300 an Ounce!!!!

Gold has topped $1,300 an ounce for good reason. The Obama administration has flooded the world with greenbacks and Treasuries, global investors have little confidence in the management of the U.S. economy, and investors have taken refuge in gold.

Since President Obama took the helm, the U.S. trade deficit increased 60%. At more than 3% of GDP, it drains off more demand for U.S. made goods and services than the President’s stimulus spending has added.

America’s chronic trade imbalances stem from dysfunctional energy policies imposed by Democrats in Congress, and continuing tolerance for Chinese mercantilism. As the U.S. economy recovers, oil and Chinese consumer imports  rise, choking the expansion -- that’s why demand and economic recovery are flagging, stocks can’t sustain momentum, and industry won’t invest or add jobs.

Democrats in Congress insist on energy policies that limit domestic oil and gas production, and rely on higher prices that instigate conservation. Those have failed to stem dependence on imported oil, the outflow of dollars, and the choke hold Middle East investors, and now China, have attained in global capital markets and on U.S. government finances.

Cheap imports from China have chased millions of Americans from manufacturing jobs, as the   U.S. purchases from the Middle Kingdom exceed sales there by more than four to one. The trade deficit with China is about $300 billion and continues growing year after year.

China has engineered this competitive conquest by keeping its yuan artificially inexpensive against the dollar and euro. Annually, it sells at deep discount about $450 billion worth of yuan for dollars, euro and other currencies in foreign exchange markets. That provides a 35% subsidy on Chinese exports and keeps Chinese goods deceptively cheap on U.S. store shelves.

The Bush and Obama administrations have sought changes in China’s currency policies through diplomacy but have failed -- and will continue failing as long as the rhetoric of appeasement and restraint from self help are the cornerstones of American policy.

Instead of advocating strong U.S. action against Chinese mercantilism, the U.S. Treasury has tarred as protectionist those who propose substantive American responses.

The huge trade deficit must be financed by attracting foreign investment in new productive assets in the United States or by printing IOUs. Investments  have only provided a small portion of the necessary cash, so each year the United States sells currency, bank deposits, Treasury securities, bonds, and the like to foreigners. Those claims on the U.S. economy now are about $7 trillion.

That floods world financial markets with U.S. dollars and paper assets that function much like   U.S. dollars -- what economists call liquidity. All that evokes an iron law of the universe: if a government prints too much money, it won’t have any value.

Add federal budget deficits exceeding $1 trillion a year for several years to come, and an economy that can’t produce enough to sustain Barack Obama’s appetite to tax and spend, and investors are simply smart to short the dollar by loading up on gold.

That’s why gold is $1,300 an ounce!!!!

Good Luck and Take Care.





Gold Price Hits New Dollar Record

Gold Prices  pushed on to new record highs against the Dollar early Wednesday in London, breaching $1313 an ounce as the US currency fell to new 5-month lows vs. the Euro and Western stock markets fell amid street protests and a national strike in Spain.

“There is no default risk with gold and with all of the uncertainty that we have today with the banking system globally, all the uncertainty that we have with the sovereign debt risks and crisis really, that we’re seeing globally – people are moving more and more into physical tangible assets.”

Believes that this state of affairs is likely to continue because, from a big picture point of view, “It’s becoming increasingly clear that the system is broken and the tools that central banks are using are not the right tools. When you have a broken system, you have to sort of step back and take a look at what’s going on.”

“If the market doesn’t like the money that’s coming out of governments, they’re going to move to other alternatives and the natural place they will move is gold.” As for prices, it is maintaining his view of gold at between $1,800 to $2,000 although he does admit that it may be a little overoptimistic to expect it to get to that level by year end.

Good Luck and Take Care.